Tuesday, 13 December 2022

FOMC December 2022 Meeting LIVE updates: Two-day Fed meeting begins Tuesday; a rate hike of 50 bps likely

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting at which the Federal Reserve is expected to hike interest rates by 50 basis points begins Tuesday. The two-day meeting, which concludes on Wednesday, will be followed by a monetary policy speech by Chair Jerome Powell and later a press conference. When announcing interest rates, the Fed will also provide guidance on inflation, GDP growth and unemployment figures. The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates by 75 basis points on Nov. 2 to keep the federal funds rate in a target range of 3.75% to 4%. This hike was the fourth consecutive rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, taking effective rate hikes to 375 basis points in 2022. This week there will be a flood of macroeconomic data that will decide the direction of the Indian stock market. Market participants will be eyeing the Industrial Production Index (IIP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which are due to be released on December 12. On December 14th, traders will be following the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) data. In addition, data on the balance of trade (exports and imports) and sales of passenger cars will be released on December 15. Also on December 16 data on deposit growth, bank lending growth and foreign exchange reserves will be released. The US S&P 500 Index posted its bottom return in five weeks, while the small-cap Russell 2000 Index had its worst week since late September. Investors are waiting to hear what Chairman Powell has to say about the inflationary environment next Wednesday (December 14) as the two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting concludes. Markets closed lower last week as the DJIA fell 2.8%, the S&P 500 fell 3.4% and the Nasdaq Composite fell 4.0%. Weak Chinese trade data dampened optimism over China's reopening. Its exports fell more than forecast by 8.7% yoy in November, marking the sharpest monthly drop in exports since February 2020. All eyes will be on the Federal Reserve as it wraps up a two-day FOMC meeting and issues verdict on the pace and magnitude of interest rates. Global equity markets have fallen on near-term resistance and we advise traders to remain vigilant on their long positions. Nifty is likely to find immediate support near the 18400-18350 levels where put options were written. A move below 18350 can take Nifty further down to previous swing lows of 18133. Markets will turn bullish if Nifty manages to convincingly surpass 18665-18729. On the global front, all eyes will be on the US Federal Reserve's (FOMC) FOMC meeting, scheduled for December 13-14, to decide the magnitude of the next rate hike. Also, investors will be keeping an eye on little economic data from the United States (US), starting with consumer inflation expectations on November 12th, followed by the monthly budget statement, core inflation rate, CPI, Redbook, on December 13th, the Change in API Crude Oil Inventories and Export & Import Prices on December 14th, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Corporate Inventories on December 15th and Baker Hughes Total Rig Count on December 16th. Investors will also be following the 48th GST Council meeting, chaired by Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, which will take place on December 17 in a virtual format. Meanwhile, a meeting of the G20 Council Development Working Group will be held in Mumbai from December 13-16. In the primary market, the Rs 552 crore initial public offering (IPO) of car dealership chain Landmark Cars will open for public subscription on December 13 and close on December 15. This week is crucial for global equity markets as markets will eagerly await comment from the Fed on the 14th and from the ECB and BoE on the 15th. However, the tone for central bank comment will be set by the US CPI data due on the 13th. If the CPI data confirms a bearish trend, the Fed may reiterate its earlier comment of slowing rate hikes, which the market interprets as a move away from the hawkish stance. On the contrary, if the CPI data reflects stubborn inflation the Fed will have no choice but to remain hawkish. This will have a negative impact on the stock markets. The continued rally in PSU bank stocks suggests interest in large-scale buying in this segment. This segment, under-owned for nearly a decade, is now bouncing back with improving fundamentals and attractive valuations, even after the recent price rally.

NAVINFLOUR OPTION PLAIN VANILLA STRATEGY RETURN OF 22500

STRATEGY GIVEN IN TODAY'S POST TO CHECK VISIT https://optioncallputtradingtips.blogspot.com/2022/12/navinflour-option-plain-vanilla.html 

NAVINFLOUR 4400 CALL BUY GIVEN @ 70-71 ACHIEVED TARGET 100 

PROFIT OF 6750

INVESTMENT 15750

RETURN OF 22500

NET PROFIT OF 22645 IN TODAY'S FUTURE OPTION CALLS

FUTURE & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS GIVEN IN TODAY'S POST TO CHECK VISIT https://optioncallputtradingtips.blogspot.com/2022/12/stock-future-option-call-put-tips-for_13.html

HINDPETRO 240 PUT BUY GIVEN @ 2.6-2.65 BOOKED PROFIT NEAR 3.2 PROFIT OF 1620

DALBHARAT 1800 PUT BUY GIVEN @ 31-32 ACHIEVED TARGET 44-45 PROFIT OF 7000

ASTRAL 2200 CALL BUY GIVEN @ 23-24 ACHIEVED TARGET 37-38 PROFIT OF 4125

BANKNIFTY 43800 15 DEC PUT BUY GIVEN @185 CLOSED @ 140 LOSS OF 2250

NET PROFIT IN OPTION CALL PUT  10495

AXISBANK FUTURE BUY GIVEN ABOVE 938 ACHIEVED BOTH THE TARGET  943-  947 PROFIT OF 8400

JINDALSTEEL FUTURE BUY GIVEN ABOVE 554 & BOOKED PROFIT NEAR 557 PROFIT OF 3750

NET PROFIT IN STOCK FUTURE  12150

NET PROFIT OF 6900 IN TODAY'S NIFTY FUTURE & STOCK CASH CALLS

CASH & NIFTY TIPS GIVEN IN TODAY'S POST TO CHECK VISIT https://optioncallputtradingtips.blogspot.com/2022/12/stock-cash-nifty-banknifty-future-calls.html

GUJRAT GAS CASH SHARES ASKED TO BUY @  525 ACHIEVED 1ST TARGET  531 PROFIT OF 2400

BRIGADE CASH SHARES BUY GIVEN @ 472 ACHIEVED TARGET  477 PROFIT OF 2000

NIFTY FUTURE SELL GIVEN BELOW 18640 ACHIEVED 1ST TARGET  18590 PROFIT OF 2500

NET PROFIT OF 6900

NAVINFLOUR OPTION PLAIN VANILLA STRATEGY FOR DEC 2022

OPTION STRTEGY BUY 1 LOT NAVINFLOUR 4400 CALL @ 70-71 TARGET 100

STOCK FUTURE & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 13 DEC 2022

 BUY 1 LOT HINDPETRO 240 PUT @ 2.6-2.65 TARGET 3.4-3.5

BUY 1 LOT DALBHARAT 1800 PUT @ 31-32 TARGET 44-45

BUY 1 LOT ASTRAL 2200 CALL @ 23-24 TARGET 37-38

BUY 2 LOTS BANKNIFTY 43800 15 DEC PUT @ 185 TARGET 205/250

STOCK FUTURE CALL BUY AXISBANK FUTURE 2 LOTS ABOVE 938 TARGET  943-  947 STOPLOSS  932

STOCK FUTURE CALL BUY JINDALSTEEL FUTURE 2 LOTS ABOVE 554 TARGET 559-  563.50 STOPLOSS 548

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STOCK CASH & NIFTY FUTURE CALLS FOR 13 DEC 2022

 STOCK CASH CALL BUY GUJRAT GAS CASH 400  SHARES ABOVE 525 TARGET  531-  536.50 STOPLOSS  518

STOCK CASH CALL BUY BRIGADE CASH 400  SHARES ABOVE  472 TARGET  477-  482 STOPLOSS  466

INDEX FUTURE CALL SELL NIFTY FUTURE 2 LOTS BELOW 18640 TARGET  18590-  18540 STOPLOSS 18695

Monday, 12 December 2022

PROFIT TODAY :: OPTION CALL PUT 8350; STOCK FUTURE 43000; NIFTY 7500

TRADING TIPS GIVEN PROFIT OF 58850 TO CHEK CALL GIVEN PLEASE VISIT https://optioncallputtradingtips.blogspot.com/2022/12/option-call-put-tips-for-12-dec-2022.html

HCLTECH 1040 CALL BUY GIVEN @ 16-16.5 ACHIEVED TARGET 22.5-23 PROFIT OF 4900

BANKNIFTY 43200 15 DEC PUT BUY GIVEN @ 115 CLOSED @ 80 LOSS OF 1750

NIFTY 18500 15 DEC CALL BUY GIVEN @ 65 ACHIEVED BOTH THE TARGET 90/110 PROFIT OF 3500

NIFTY 18600 15 DEC CALL BUY GIVEN @ 50 ACHIEVED 1ST TARGET 62 PROFIT OF 600 &  ALMOST HIT FINAL TGT MADE A HIGH OF 72 NET PROFIT OF 1700

NET PROFIT IN OPTION CALL PUT 8350

JUBILANT FOOD  FUTURE BUY GIVEN ABOVE 530.50 ACHIEVED 1ST TARGET  535.50 PROFIT OF 6250

JINDALSTEEL FUTURE BUY GIVEN ABOVE 544.50 ACHIEVED BOTH THE TARGET  549.50-  554.50 PROFIT OF 18750

AXIS BANK FUTURE BUY GIVEN ABOVE 930 ACHIEVED 1ST TARGET  935/940 PROFIT OF 18000

STOCK FUTURE NET PROFIT 43000

NIFTY FUTURE BUY GIVEN ABOVE  18465 ACHIEVED BOTH THE TARGET  18515-  18565 PROFIT OF 7500

INDEX FUTURE NET PROFIT 7500

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PROFIT TODAY :: OPTION CALL PUT 8350; STOCK FUTURE 31000 ; NIFTY 7500

TRADING TIPS GIVEN PROFIT OF 46850 TO CHEK CALL GIVEN PLEASE VISIT https://optioncallputtradingtips.blogspot.com/2022/12/option-call-put-tips-for-12-dec-2022.html

HCLTECH 1040 CALL BUY GIVEN @ 16-16.5 ACHIEVED TARGET 22.5-23 PROFIT OF 4900

BANKNIFTY 43200 15 DEC PUT BUY GIVEN @ 115 CLOSED @ 80 LOSS OF 1750

NIFTY 18500 15 DEC CALL BUY GIVEN @ 65 ACHIEVED BOTH THE TARGET 90/110 PROFIT OF 3500

NIFTY 18600 15 DEC CALL BUY GIVEN @ 50 ACHIEVED 1ST TARGET 62 PROFIT OF 600 &  ALMOST HIT FINAL TGT MADE A HIGH OF 72 NET PROFIT OF 1700

NET PROFIT IN OPTION CALL PUT 8350

JUBILANT FOOD  FUTURE BUY GIVEN ABOVE 530.50 ACHIEVED 1ST TARGET  535.50 PROFIT OF 6250

JINDALSTEEL FUTURE BUY GIVEN ABOVE 544.50 ACHIEVED BOTH THE TARGET  549.50-  554.50 PROFIT OF 18750

AXIS BANK FUTURE BUY GIVEN ABOVE 930 ACHIEVED 1ST TARGET  935 PROFIT OF 6000

STOCK FUTURE NET PROFIT 31000

NIFTY FUTURE BUY GIVEN ABOVE  18465 ACHIEVED BOTH THE TARGET  18515-  18565 PROFIT OF 7500

INDEX FUTURE NET PROFIT 7500