No one can argue with the fact
that we’ve seen extreme volatility in the stock market over the past
week. At times like this, it’s not uncommon to feel fear and panic.
We’re all human and too many of us have lived through challenging financial
crises in the past. While I can’t predict the future or tell you
definitively that everything is going to absolutely be alright, I think it’s
critically important to keep a few things in mind during this time.
WHAT'S CAUSING THE VOLATILITY?
First, it’s important to
understand why the stock market is acting this way. Fundamentally, the U.S.
economy is doing well. But due to a confluence of events including fears
of a slowdown in China, currency devaluation from emerging market countries
(China, Vietnam, Kazakhstan, etc.), and uncertainty about the Fed’s pending
rate decision, the market has seen a huge sell-off.
In
addition to these events, our market is finally nearing correction territory,
and this is a correction that is long overdue.
UNDERSTANDING STOCK MARKET CORRECTIONS
Corrections are a lot like a
circuit breaker. They usually occur when a hot market gets hit with
worrisome news- such events cause the market to pause and fall back as
institutional and individual investors reassess their positions based on the
new information. These respites are actually good for the market.
Looking back to historical data beginning with the year 1928, the market
typically undergoes a five percent correction about every 10 weeks, and a 10
percent correction every 33 weeks. Our research shows that the market has not
seen a full 10% correction in 46 months, which is the third longest in history,
so we are definitely due.
3 THINGS TO KEEP IN MIND DURING THIS VOLATILE TIME
1. CORRECTIONS ARE NORMAL AND TEMPORARY. The
stock market won’t go up forever without a few bumps along the way. It’s
time for the market to pull back a bit and this is a normal part of the
process. Corrections are also temporary. History tells us that
since 1965 markets that correct between 10% and 20% take less than six months
to recover.
2. DIVERSIFICATION IS YOUR BEST FRIEND. This is not the
time to panic, but it is the time to be sure that you have a well-balanced,
diversified portfolio. If you have the right mix of stocks and bonds, you
have a buffer against losses during times like this. Trust and be
confident in your original investment strategy.
3. REMEMBER THAT INVESTING IS A LONG-TERM ACTIVITY. While the past
week’s volatility has had us all a bit nervous, what happens today or tomorrow
is not going to throw your whole investment strategy into a tailspin unless you
alter it. You won’t make any money if you pull your money out now and sit
on a pile of cash. Even if you are near retirement age, you will still be
invested for many, many years to come.
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