There is a type of option that is not offered
by the "regular" options exchanges (such as CBOE or ISE). It's the binary option.
Binary options
are very easy to understand. The gambler (sure, there is an effort to describe
players as stock-market investors, but trading binary options is gambling)
places a bet. It works like this: Some future event will either be true or not
true -- and you can take either side of that bet.
Another way to
state the gambling proposition: Your wager will be worth $100 or $0 when the
option expires. There are no other choices. If the event comes true, those who
bet on "come true" can cash in their wager for $100. Those who bet it
would not come true lost, and their "investment." is worth $0 (i.e.,
it expires worthless).
For example:
"The S&P 500 Index will be up more than 6.00 points today." In
the morning, before the market opens, let's assume that the futures markets are
neutral. In that scenario, it is more likely than not that the proposition will
turn out to be false because the index rises by more than 6 points less than
half the time, or "not true" when the day ends. Thus, people who want
to wager that the proposition will come true will get a little bit better than
even money odds. Those who bet it will not be true must accept odds of less
than even money (i.e., they can win less than $1 for each $1 wagered).
Binary options
can also be used for longer-term situations, such as:
- Donald Trump will be elected President of the USA in 2016
- The stock market will close lower on Dec 31, 2016 that it did on Dec 31, 2015
- Hillary Clinton will be elected president
of the USA in 2016.
- The Chicago Cubs will play in the World Series in 2016.
It's
very easy to understand how binary options work. Most people like to predict
things. When you have a strong hunch, it is tempting to place friendly bets
with friends.